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March 29th, 2008

Recession Mongering – are we creating it?

I’ve been talking about this on & off over the past several months – the media’s fascination with bad news and making it sound like the bottom has fallen out of the housing market, and now the ecomomy in general. No doubt there is a lot of anxiety and uncertainity about the economy, the hjousing market, unemployment, etc, etc…and some parts of the country have been hard hit in multiple sectors. As quoted in the linked article,

“We’re over-reacting to the recession word,” Dow Chemical Chairman and CEO Andrew Liveris told CNBC. “Lots of people get together and talk to each other and people believe the psychology.”

“It feeds on itself,” says Jim Awad, chairman of JW Stewart Asset Management. “You can’t go home every night and hear this and then go out and hire someone or buy a car.”

“The economy is still sorting itself through,” Liveris told CNBC. “I wouldn’t do the ‘Chicken Little’ thing.”

As I discuss with my real estate clients, we might be bordering on some challenging times, but I also think there are some great signs for a turnaround, or at least a stabilization. Interest rates are low, housing prices in Chicago are stable to decreasing and there are a lot of people looking to buy a home.

Even the federal government is involved in trying to provide some help and relief. The Hope Now proposal is a work in progress that might help. Here’s how it would work:Under this proposal, the government would allocate as much as $20 billion up front. It would use those funds to buy up mortgages from investors in a reverse-auction process, at prices below the face value of the loans. In a reverse auction, sellers compete against one another, slashing prices until a buyer – in this case the government – says yes to a deal. Toread the full story, click here

 On this front, I’m curious, what do you think about the subprime debacle. Post your comments whether you’re for or against federal intervention and to what extent.

I look forward to seeing the responses… 

March 21st, 2008

Privatizing profits…what a concept!

I, along with I’m sure many of you, am very frustrated with the current economy and lending issues. In Chicago, real estate taxes have gone up to keep the city building & growing. The sales tax was increased, again to keep the city building and growing. The city transfer tax on the puschase of real estate was increased to fund the CTA pensions, who is paying this last increase is yet to be determined. How far can a dollar stretch?

Now, with the failing of Bear Stearns (which has been wrestling with this problem for some time), we as a society are bailing them out. Are they failing due to greed?, bad judgement?, bad timing?, or poor management? I’m sure their failure would have a substantial domino affect on many other companies in many industries, but isn’t that the risk/reward of free enterprise?  It seems that financial institutions are able to do business in a no risk envirnoment!

The Fed is trying to help by cutting the rates, but so far it has helped the banks make investment purchases to help shore up their bottm line - important in the scheme of things. Eventually, I suppose, those lower interest rates will trickle over to the consumer that is on the verge of a short sale or foreclosure on their home.

I am hopeful that our government will come up with some plans that will actually help those individual homeowners in their time of need. There are real estate investors and second home owners that have found that their decisions may not have been so sound. As difficult as it may be, I hope the consumer bailout will be able to weed out the investor/second home owner and focus on those whose primary dwelling is at risk.

I suppose my hopes are a little too idealistic, but isn’t that where it starts…?

March 11th, 2008

Proposed Retail tax increase

I thought this was already a done deal, but maybe this will help. It will take effect in November. Call the number below and voice your opinion…are you for or against the proposed new retail tax hike. Whether you live here or enjoy visiting, this will have an impact on your enjoyment of the city, but it will affect the retailers as well. 

CALL 1-312 -603-6400.  press1, then 2, then 2.   It only took about 15 SECONDS to punch in my vote. Who wants to pay 10.25% SALES TAX?  The county is planning the increase for November.  This will have a negative effect on the lives of consumers in Illinois and, obviously, on retail businesses as this will make ours the highest sales tax rate in the country.  Please call- and forward this to your friends. 

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Lincoln Park News

Real Estate - Residential stories from Crain's Chicago Business News and Features regarding Real Estate - Residential from Crain's Chicago Business

This Old House honors Chicago bungalow belt neighborhood (AP) ? A Chicago neighborhood filled with historic bungalows and tree-lined streets has landed on a best-of list by This Old House magazine. The magazine lists North Mayfair on the city's Northwest Side as one of the best "old-house neighborhoods" in the U.S. and Canada. North Mayfair ...
Illinois to use mortgage database licensing system (AP) ? Illinois is embracing a licensing database that officials say will help ensure the competency of mortgage loan professionals. The Illinois Department of Financial and Professional Regulation said it'll start to use the Nationwide Mortgage Licensing System for license applications ...
Neighborhood Housing Services chief Gottschall retires after 35 years (Crain?s) ? Bruce Gottschall, who helped start what has become the city?s largest housing counseling agency, is stepping down as its executive director after 35 years. Mr. Gottschall began Neighborhood Housing Services of Chicago in 1975. He will retire on Dec. 15. ?It feels like ...
Amcore put on the clock by regulators (Crain?s) ? Federal regulators have rejected Amcore Financial Inc.?s plan to raise capital, giving the troubled Rockford-based lender a month to raise the needed money or sell. Amcore has until Dec. 4 to submit a new plan to the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency under ...
USG loss casts pall over housing market outlook (Reuters) ? Building products maker USG Corp. reported a larger quarterly loss on Wednesday and said the near-term outlook remains weak, sending its shares down more than 8 percent. The result is another sign the housing construction industry has yet to fully right itself after collapsing ...
Key ShoreBank executive leaves lender (Crain?s) ? The veteran ShoreBank executive in charge of the lender?s signature loans to apartment rehabbers ? the portfolio whose success largely created the community bank?s national reputation for profiting while lending in low-income neighborhoods ? has left the bank. James ...
Capone's hideout sells for $2.6 million (AP) ? The former northern Wisconsin hideout of Chicago mobster Al Capone has sold for $2.6 million to the bank that foreclosed on the property. Margie Schull of the Sawyer County Sheriff's Department says Chippewa Valley Bank was the only bidder during a five-minute sheriff's sale on the ...
Capone's Wisc. hideout up for auction Thursday (AP) ? The former northern Wisconsin hideout of Chicago mobster Al Capone goes on the auction block Thursday. A bank foreclosed on the 407-acre wooded site and a sheriff's sale takes place on the steps of the Sawyer County Courthouse in Hayward. Chippewa Valley Bank says the starting bid ...
Illinois earns 'C' for financial instability (AP) ? If Illinois had parents, they wouldn't be too happy with the state's economic grade card. An advocacy group, the Corporation for Enterprise Development, gave the state an overall 'C' grade in its annual assessment of financial stability in all 50 U.S. states. Illinois fared better ...
Civic Fed OKs 2016 cost forecast ? except for Olympic Village (Crain?s) ? The Civic Federation has come out with a report that generally concurs with Mayor Richard M. Daley's budget projections for the 2016 Olympics ? with the exception of the development of the Olympic Village. In a highly anticipated report, the tax-policy group said that "the ...
U.S. homes sales up for 3rd straight month (AP) ? Signaling a housing recovery is under way in much of the country, sales of previously occupied homes rose for the third month in a row in June. The National Assn. of Realtors said Thursday that home sales rose 3.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.89 million last month, ...
State debuts new-homebuyers help (Crain?s) ? First-time homebuyers scrambling for a down payment are getting a financial boost from the state. The Illinois Housing Development Authority rolled out its Illinois Home Start Loan Program on Wednesday. It provides qualifying homebuyers with a 30-year fixed-rate FHA loan and up ...
Chicago Community Trust beats $1M fundraising target (Crain?s) ? The Chicago Community Trust announced it surpassed a $1-million target to provide funds for shelters and pantries that have been overwhelmed by soaring demand. In an initiative launched late last year, the community foundation raised $1.3 million for its Unity Challenge ...
Citadel to invest up to $100M more in E*Trade (AP) ? E*Trade Financial Corp. said Wednesday it plans to raise $400 million in common stock, with Citadel Investment Group purchasing up to $100 million of the offer.
AG Madigan sues American Escrow for skipping clients? tax payments (Crain?s) ? Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan has sued a Chicago-based independent escrow company that went out of business in March without paying taxes on behalf of homeowner clients around the country. Ms. Madigan, working with the Illinois Department of Financial and Professional ...
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