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March 29th, 2008

Recession Mongering - are we creating it?

I’ve been talking about this on & off over the past several months - the media’s fascination with bad news and making it sound like the bottom has fallen out of the housing market, and now the ecomomy in general. No doubt there is a lot of anxiety and uncertainity about the economy, the hjousing market, unemployment, etc, etc…and some parts of the country have been hard hit in multiple sectors. As quoted in the linked article,

“We’re over-reacting to the recession word,” Dow Chemical Chairman and CEO Andrew Liveris told CNBC. “Lots of people get together and talk to each other and people believe the psychology.”

“It feeds on itself,” says Jim Awad, chairman of JW Stewart Asset Management. “You can’t go home every night and hear this and then go out and hire someone or buy a car.”

“The economy is still sorting itself through,” Liveris told CNBC. “I wouldn’t do the ‘Chicken Little’ thing.”

As I discuss with my real estate clients, we might be bordering on some challenging times, but I also think there are some great signs for a turnaround, or at least a stabilization. Interest rates are low, housing prices in Chicago are stable to decreasing and there are a lot of people looking to buy a home.

Even the federal government is involved in trying to provide some help and relief. The Hope Now proposal is a work in progress that might help. Here’s how it would work:Under this proposal, the government would allocate as much as $20 billion up front. It would use those funds to buy up mortgages from investors in a reverse-auction process, at prices below the face value of the loans. In a reverse auction, sellers compete against one another, slashing prices until a buyer - in this case the government - says yes to a deal. Toread the full story, click here

 On this front, I’m curious, what do you think about the subprime debacle. Post your comments whether you’re for or against federal intervention and to what extent.

I look forward to seeing the responses… 

March 21st, 2008

Privatizing profits…what a concept!

I, along with I’m sure many of you, am very frustrated with the current economy and lending issues. In Chicago, real estate taxes have gone up to keep the city building & growing. The sales tax was increased, again to keep the city building and growing. The city transfer tax on the puschase of real estate was increased to fund the CTA pensions, who is paying this last increase is yet to be determined. How far can a dollar stretch?

Now, with the failing of Bear Stearns (which has been wrestling with this problem for some time), we as a society are bailing them out. Are they failing due to greed?, bad judgement?, bad timing?, or poor management? I’m sure their failure would have a substantial domino affect on many other companies in many industries, but isn’t that the risk/reward of free enterprise?  It seems that financial institutions are able to do business in a no risk envirnoment!

The Fed is trying to help by cutting the rates, but so far it has helped the banks make investment purchases to help shore up their bottm line - important in the scheme of things. Eventually, I suppose, those lower interest rates will trickle over to the consumer that is on the verge of a short sale or foreclosure on their home.

I am hopeful that our government will come up with some plans that will actually help those individual homeowners in their time of need. There are real estate investors and second home owners that have found that their decisions may not have been so sound. As difficult as it may be, I hope the consumer bailout will be able to weed out the investor/second home owner and focus on those whose primary dwelling is at risk.

I suppose my hopes are a little too idealistic, but isn’t that where it starts…?

March 11th, 2008

Proposed Retail tax increase

I thought this was already a done deal, but maybe this will help. It will take effect in November. Call the number below and voice your opinion…are you for or against the proposed new retail tax hike. Whether you live here or enjoy visiting, this will have an impact on your enjoyment of the city, but it will affect the retailers as well. 

CALL 1-312 -603-6400.  press1, then 2, then 2.   It only took about 15 SECONDS to punch in my vote. Who wants to pay 10.25% SALES TAX?  The county is planning the increase for November.  This will have a negative effect on the lives of consumers in Illinois and, obviously, on retail businesses as this will make ours the highest sales tax rate in the country.  Please call- and forward this to your friends. 

February 14th, 2008

Wrong Tax at the wrong time?

The city is attempting to raise the transfer tax a buyer pays at the time of closing on a residential real estate purchase. Currently, the buyer pays $7.50/$1000 of the purchase price and now they want to raise it to $10.50/$1000. it’s said that it will go to fund the CTA pensions.

An excerpt in a press release from the Chiacgo Association of Realtors states “Taxpayers in the Chicago region have been under siege in recent months, with more than $800 million in new taxes coming out of their pockets. This impacts people and businesses alike, and adds a level of uncertainty to the economic competitiveness and jobs climate of our region,” added Chicagoland Chamber of Commerce President and CEO Jerry Roper. “These elected officials are making the unfortunate choice to push through tax increases when our national economy is struggling and our local economy needs a boost.”

Let me know your thoughts…Is it the wrong tax at the wrong time?

December 12th, 2007

Chicago real estate market snap shot

We’ve all read and heard about how bad the real estate market is. some parts of the country are getting hit very hard. But the Chicago market, “While the national median price of a home sold in October was 5.1% lower than a year ago, Chicago-area homes experienced a 3.1% increase, to $250,000. Half of the Chicago-area homes sold in October were below $250,000 and half were above that amount. The median price last October was $242,500. The median home price throughout the state fell 1.5% to $195,000 from last October. Average sale prices for both the Chicago area and the state were up. The Chicago average rose 9% to $328,057 from last year and the state average rose 4.5% to $259,031 from last year.” Not bad amongst all the gloom & doom!

Personally, I find it to be not only a great time to be a buyer, but a seller as well. Interest rates dropped last week and there is a fair amount of inventory to choose from. Plus, sellers trying to sell their home this time of the year have a tendency to be more realistic and motivated then perhaps other times of the year.

From the sellers’ perspective, pricing their home correctly is critical. There are a lot of serious buyers looking for a fair deal on their new home and a correctly priced home increases the chances of find one, or more of them.

From either side of the equation, it’s a managing of expectations. Fair minded buyers and sellers tend to find one another and put together deals that work for everyone.

If you’re curious as to how Lincoln Park or any other Chicago neighborhood is fairing in this current real estate market, jus shoot me an email and I will be happy to provide you with a market snapshot.

February 23rd, 2007

Housing Market to Stabilize in 2007

The highs and lows of 2006 are expected to level out.

Home buyers and sellers receive good news as more experts are anticipating a leveling housing market for 2007. In addition to home sales and prices, it looks like interest rates may also be stabilizing. Freddie Mac released its weekly United States survey stating that 30-year mortgage rates have remained unchanged in more than a week. Other loans, such as the 15-year fixed-rate mortgage, only saw very slight increases.

In her recent MarketWatch article, Amy Hoak explains that the leveling out of the home market is primarily due to a “healthy correction”. In other words, the slow down we saw during much of 2006 was due to buyers continuing to wait to get the best home prices, even after a majority of investors, who many argue were somewhat responsible for the massive housing boom, tried to exit the market. This caused a slow down in overall home sales.

Will 2007 be a Buyers Market?
Sellers will see less monetary gain from home sales

Although a more stable housing market in 2007 is expected, some experts say that there are many months ahead before the housing market gets back to “normal”. Although home sale prices are expected to rise slightly, actual price gains on property will remain relatively smaller than most sellers would like.

According to National Association, median existing home prices are expected to rise 1.7 percent next year, while new home prices are expected to rise 1.3 percent.

For buyers and sellers alike, this means now is not the time to try to flip homes quickly to make a profit. Take your time, do your research and find a home that’s a good value and likely to resell well in the future. It’s also a good idea to start looking into getting approved for a mortgage now. Getting pre-approved helps you get more leverage in negotiating for the property you do want once you find it.

Courtesy of:
Mary Markis
Perl Mortgage
312.651.5357
Mary@MaryMarkis.com

December 22nd, 2006

Doing a 1031 Exchange on Vacation Homes

Black and White Plus Shades of Gray
Internal Revenue Code Section 1031 allows for the tax-deferred exchange of real property
that is held for investment. Perhaps no exchange issue is more controversial than the question
of what constitutes an investment. Vacation homes or 2nd homes sometimes will qualify for a
1031 Exchange. However, such qualification depends on the circumstances of property use.
In analyzing whether a vacation home qualifies as an investment for 1031 Exchange purposes,
it is perhaps best to categorize the uses of the property into three separate categories. First,
the home is used exclusively for personal reasons without any rental activity. Second, the
home is used exclusively as a rental without any personal use. Third, the home is used both personally and as a rental.When a home is used exclusively for personal, non-rental purposes
it is well established that the property does not qualify for tax-deferred exchange treatment. Conversely, if a home is used exclusively for rental purposes, the property almost certainly
qualifies as an investment that can be exchanged. The third category, mixed personal and
rental use, requires the most analysis and is the least clear when determining exchange qualification.Current exchange tax law does not provide a clear test for determining whether
a mixed-use property qualifies for exchange treatment. Many tax attorneys have looked to
other sections of the internal revenue code for guidance. IRC Section 280A provides that a
taxpayer cannot deduct losses or mortgage interest on properties that were personally used
by the taxpayer for more than 14 days or 10% of the days the property was rented,
whichever is more. Using this standard, if a property is rented out for less than 140 days per
year, the taxpayer should not use the property personally for more than 14 days per year.
However, if personal use is 14 days or less, exchange qualification is not assured. Although
there is no definitive guidance, the following guidelines can be informative when determining
whether a property qualifies for exchange treatment.
  1. Personal use is more than 14 days: Exchange qualification is unlikely unless rental
  2. activity is more than 140 days per year.
  3. Personal use is 14 days or less but rental days less than personal use days. Exchange qualification is again unlikely but more likely than scenario 1.
  4. Personal use is 14 days or less and rental days are more than personal use days.
  5. Exchange qualification is more likely although not assured. Whenever real property is
  6. used for personal purposes, exchange treatment is not assured.

Along with the unofficial guidelines listed above, rental should be reported on tax returns,
along with depreciation. Failure to report income and depreciation will cloud any claim of
investment motivation and exchange treatment. In addition, property rentals should be at or
within fair market rent range to help further establish income motivation. For example, renting
a property to your son or neighbor for $10 per night is not good evidence that your primary motivation for owning the property was rental income and capital appreciation.

When a property has both personal use and rental use, a definitive answer as to exchange qualification is unfortunately not possible. The individual facts and circumstances should be
closely examined. The more rental activity and the less personal use, the more likely the
property is to qualify for tax-deferred exchange treatment.

Please note that all 1031 Exchanges should be planned with the assistance of experienced tax
counsel. This is especially true for complicated exchanges involving business entities as
described in this article. This article has attempted to briefly survey the issue discussed and
does not portend to be an all-inclusive analysis of the subject matter.

By Adam Skarsgard, Esq, CPA

December 15th, 2006

Latest Cost-Value Remodeling Report Just Published


In any given year, in any given housing market or geographic location, certain types of remodeling projects demonstrably return more of their installation costs at the time of resale.  A higher percentage of those installation costs can be recouped in a strong housing market, of course. But, you get the picture. 

 

Knowing what types of home improvements are most likely to return the highest amount in YOUR area, can help you make more informed choices about where to invest your remodeling dollars.


Call or email me and we can discuss how you may benefit from home improvements to your house.

While the data presented here can help set expectations for homeowners contemplating remodeling work, some figures will appear too high or too low simply due to the leveling effect of averaging. It’s also important to acknowledge a variety of factors that can affect both the cost of remodeling and the resale value of homes.

Here are the general data for improvement projects from Remodeling Magazine. To get real specific, you can order a report for a few dollars from Remodeling Magazine. You can get a report for one of 60 areas.

courtesy of Chicago Association of Realtors and the National Association of Realtors

December 13th, 2006

Existing-Home Sales to Trend Upward in 2007

Existing-home sales are expected to rise gradually in 2007 from current levels, with annual totals slightly lower than 2006, while new-home sales will continue to slide, according to the latest forecast by the NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®.

David Lereah, NAR’s chief economist, says market conditions will vary around the country next year.

“Roughly three-quarters of the country will experience a sluggish expansion in 2007, while other areas should continue to contract for at least part of the year,” he says. “Most of the correction in home prices is behind us, but general gains in value next year will be modest by historical standards.”

For Buyers, a Window of Opportunity

“Buyers, especially first-time buyers, with the combined benefits of seller flexibility and an unexpected drop in mortgage interest rates, have a window of opportunity,” he adds. “These conditions will persist in many areas until early spring when inventory supplies are likely to become more balanced.”

Existing-home sales for 2006, finishing the third-best year on record, are projected at 6.47 million, a decline of 8.6 percent from 2005. For 2007, sales expected to rise steadily to an annual total of 6.40 million, which would be 1 percent lower than this year’s total.

“By the fourth quarter of 2007, existing-home sales will be 4.6 percent higher than the current quarter,” Lereah says.

Mortgage Rates Seen Rising to 6.7%

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is forecast to gradually increase to 6.7 percent by the fourth quarter of 2007. Last week, Freddie Mac reported the 30-year fixed rate dropped to 6.11 percent.

The national median existing-home price for all of 2006 is projected to rise 1.4 percent to $222,600, with another 1.0 percent gain next year to $224,700. The median new-home price should ease by 0.5 percent to $239,700 this year, and then rise by 0.8 percent in 2007 to $241,700.

“Keep in mind that overall home prices were still appreciating at double digit rates in the first quarter of this year — prices in this buyer’s market are temporarily a little below a year ago when we were in a strong seller’s market,” Lereah says. “This correction is one of the factors drawing buyers into the current market, but most sellers are still seeing very healthy long-term gains.”

December 8th, 2006

Take Advantage of the Winter Home Buying Season

“Wait . . . did you say the winter home buying season?”


We sure did. Many home buyers like to wait until the trees are budding and the flowers are blooming to start shopping for a new home. But the best time to shop is when the “stores” are stocked and there are fewer customers…welcome to the winter home buying season!

5 Great reasons to pull on your boots and start shopping.

1. TIME. The winter market moves a little slower (less buyers) which leaves you more time to consider multiple listings simultaneously without having to make instant decisions. Great time to avoid bidding wars.

2. PRICE REDUCTIONS. Motivated sellers want to sell their homes before the spring market gets moving and buries their listing within thousands of others. They will offer lower prices and sometimes even buy down your mortgage rate to make their listing more appealing.

3. PERKS. If you’re considering a purchase this winter, know that many developers are looking to move as many units as possible – giving you individual purchasing power through the negotiation of extra discounts or “perks” such as paint, crown molding or even a free plasma TV.

4. LESS STRESS. Have you ever tried to get a moving truck for the first weekend in April? Nearly impossible. But if you find a new home in the winter, moving is a breeze. Moving and utility companies aren’t very busy in the winter and can work around your schedule.

5. BEST DEAL. Get in before the prices go up in the spring while taking advantage of current low rates. This will help you get the more house for less money.

BONUS! Clients interested in purchasing second homes or investment properties should know that purchase prices are typically less in the winter months – and contracting and servicing agencies are more readily available for immediate home improvements that may be necessary.

This article compliments of Mary Markis, Senior Loan Officer, Perl Mortgage, 312.651.5357, mmarkis@perlmortgage.com

Lincoln Park News

Real Estate - Residential stories from Crain's Chicago Business News and Features regarding Real Estate - Residential from Crain's Chicago Business

Condo sales fall to a 7-year low The downtown condominium market took another turn for the worse in the third quarter, as developers sold the fewest condos in a three-month period since the aftermath of the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Buyers signed contracts for only 160 condos and townhouses in the quarter, down 82% from the ...
Real estate slump shelves suburban spruce-up Lake Zurich officials hailed the May 2006 groundbreaking of a 39-unit townhouse project as a key first step in a $200-million plan to redevelop the northwest suburb's downtown. Now, with the once-booming housing market gone bust, what's left behind is a half-finished complex and a developer ...
Credit freeze chills Chicago The choking credit market is causing pain in just about every nook of Chicago's economy, squeezing businesses and consumers alike. From manufacturers to car dealers to big publicly traded firms, companies that rely on borrowed money to buy inventory, expand facilities and strike deals are having ...
Assessor yanks tax break for Loyola, Franciscan residential project (Crain?s) ? Cook County Assessor James Houlihan is moving to take a lucrative tax break from Loyola University Chicago and the Franciscan Sisters religious order. In an unusual step likely to draw strong protests from the two prominent Roman Catholic institutions, Mr. Houlihan late last ...
Fannie-Freddie takeover sparks global stock rally (AP) ? Uncle Sam has just become the 800 pound gorilla in the U.S. mortgage market. The Bush administration announced Sunday it was seizing troubled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in a bid to help reverse a prolonged housing and credit crisis. But private analysts worried that ...
Stocks fall on inflation data, financial worries (AP) ? Wall Street fell sharply for a second straight session Tuesday after a hefty jump in wholesale inflation and a drop in new home construction gave investors more reason to believe an economic recovery is far off. The Dow closed at 11,348.55, down 130.84 points or 1.1%. The three ...
Condo chasm hits new low Sales of new homes downtown are grinding to a halt, casting doubts over when the market for trendy condominiums and townhouses will begin to recover. New-home sales plummeted 73% to a record-low 685 units during the first six months of this year, compared with 2,443 units in the first half of ...
South Siders raise Olympics concerns (Crain?s) ? Even as Mayor Richard M. Daley pushes Chicago?s Olympic hopes in Beijing, the first signs of potential serious domestic woes for the city?s Olympics ambitions emerged back home in Chicago on Thursday. A group of about 100 South Side civic activists and community leaders ...
Condo buyers flip off Trump Investors no longer have to pay Trump prices for a piece of Donald Trump's downtown condominium and hotel tower. At least 34 hotel suites sold by the developer in the past six months are back on the market, some priced at a steep discount to comparable unsold hotel units in the ...
Chicago, state see Q2 foreclosure filings jump (AP) ? The number of households facing the foreclosure process more than doubled in the second quarter compared to a year ago, according to data released Friday. Nationwide, 739,714 homes received at least one foreclosure-related notice during the quarter, or one in every 171 U.S. households, ...
Fortune Brands' fortunes slump in 2Q (AP) ? Fortune Brands Inc., which sells wine and spirits as well as home and hardware products and golf equipment, said Friday its second-quarter profit fell 41 percent amid a weak U.S. economic environment and higher commodity costs. The company also said it anticipates a decline in ...
FDIC chair urges calm; most Chicago banks in good shape (Crain?s) ? Sheila Bair, chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., has some advice for consumers worried about the health of their banks: Calm down. The FDIC, which insures deposits up to $100,000 at banks around the country, over the weekend took control of California-based IndyMac ...
New fair-housing group debuts with hearing in Chicago (Crain's) ? In conjunction with the 40th anniversary of the Fair Housing Act, a new bipartisan commission held a hearing Tuesday in Chicago on illegal housing discrimination. The panel, called the National Commission on Fair Housing and Equal Opportunity, is co-chaired by Jack Kemp and Henry ...
AG Madigan to sue Countrywide for fraud (Crain?s) ? Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan is suing Countrywide Financial Corp., claiming that the company knowingly put borrowers in mortgages they couldn?t afford leading to thousands of residents losing their homes. The suit, filed Wednesday morning in Cook County Circuit Court, ...
Recovery still 2 years away for USG: Foote (Crain?s) ? A recovery for drywall manufacturer USG Corp. is at least two years away, even as drywall prices show signs of firming, USG CEO William Foote said Wednesday. With new housing construction still mired in a severe slump and the U.S. economy teetering on a recession, Mr. Foote ...
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